Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.151366 0.172375 0.195700 0.223596 0.256153 0.293071 0.338279
2026-01-04 0.119027 0.147147 0.181464 0.226781 0.285576 0.359998 0.462478
2026-01-11 0.100120 0.131275 0.171991 0.229857 0.311211 0.423371 0.592991
2026-01-18 0.088282 0.121308 0.166914 0.235742 0.339196 0.492553 0.744139
2026-01-25 0.078116 0.111547 0.159861 0.236544 0.358549 0.551114 0.890546
2026-02-01 0.069911 0.103189 0.153214 0.236196 0.375063 0.606984 1.043616
2026-02-08 0.062814 0.095428 0.146181 0.233729 0.387026 0.656539 1.195767
2026-02-15 0.056831 0.088596 0.139587 0.230724 0.397074 0.703806 1.353687
2026-02-22 0.053292 0.085224 0.138087 0.235996 0.422376 0.783225 1.594663
2026-03-01 0.048761 0.079672 0.132198 0.232483 0.430429 0.830311 1.778109
2026-03-08 0.045402 0.075747 0.128640 0.232681 0.445539 0.894225 2.015974
2026-03-15 0.042408 0.072141 0.125216 0.232595 0.459906 0.959040 2.273447
2026-03-22 0.040387 0.070135 0.124599 0.238165 0.487613 1.060366 2.658014
2026-03-29 0.038225 0.067664 0.122852 0.241230 0.510499 1.155749 3.059039
2026-04-05 0.036295 0.065432 0.121304 0.244473 0.534331 1.258714 3.517808
2026-04-12 0.034864 0.064012 0.121192 0.250780 0.566509 1.390446 4.114053
2026-04-19 0.033017 0.061600 0.118799 0.251639 0.585446 1.491130 4.648193
2026-04-26 0.031224 0.059132 0.116035 0.251265 0.601193 1.586681 5.203569
2026-05-03 0.029393 0.056429 0.112503 0.248616 0.610523 1.665855 5.732443
2026-05-10 0.027676 0.053817 0.108920 0.245391 0.617782 1.740703 6.278121
2026-05-17 0.026790 0.052880 0.108924 0.251050 0.650970 1.906201 7.278377
2026-05-24 0.025274 0.050470 0.105394 0.247280 0.656293 1.981544 7.921681
2026-05-31 0.024154 0.048833 0.103483 0.247492 0.673609 2.102919 8.844220